DNA Probability Calculator
DNA Relationship Probability Calculator
A sharper alternative to the standard shared-cM chart
Most online cM calculators only compare your total shared cM against a lookup table. This calculator instead models DNA matching as a genetic point process: the number of shared segments is treated as Poisson-distributed, and segment lengths as exponentially distributed — the standard approximation used in population-genetics research on identity-by-descent (IBD) segments. Adding your largest segment and segment count lets the calculator use real order-statistics math (the distribution of the maximum of many exponential segments) instead of a generic bell curve, giving a noticeably sharper estimate — especially for telling apart relationships like half-sibling, grandparent, and aunt/uncle, which share almost identical total cM.
